High Support for Transportation Projects in Metro Vancouver

Almost nine-in-ten residents are in favour of taking SkyTrain to the UBC Point Grey campus.

Vancouver, BC [October 18, 2018] – Two pending transportation projects are backed by a sizeable proportion of Metro Vancouver residents, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of Metro Vancouverites, two thirds (68%) say they agree with the construction of the proposed Surrey–Newton–Guildford Light Rail Transit (LRT) project in Surrey.

In the City of Surrey, 62% of residents are in favour of the proposed LRT project, while 34% are not.

Four-in-five Metro Vancouver residents (82%) agree with the extension of the SkyTrain Millennium Line underneath Broadway to Arbutus in Vancouver—including 81% of those who live in the City of Vancouver.

In addition, 87% of Metro Vancouverites support extending the Millennium Line beyond Arbutus to the University of British Columbia (UBC) campus at Point Grey.

“Most residents of Metro Vancouver are keen to see these transportation projects through,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “Support is similarly high among those who drive, take public transit or bike to school or work.”

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from October 4 to October 7, 2018, among 635 adults in Metro Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Metro Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

Photo Credit: PoYang

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Stewart Keeps Lead as Vancouver Mayoral Election Looms

More than half of voters are considering independent candidates for City Council.

Vancouver, BC [October 16, 2018] – Independent candidate Kennedy Stewart remains ahead as Vancouver’s mayoral campaign enters its final days, a new Research Co. poll has found.

The online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver voters reproduced the ballot that will be used in the mayoral election, with the names of all 21 candidates listed in the order that was drawn last month.

In the survey, 36% of decided voters (+2 since early October) said they will vote for Stewart or have already voted for him in the advance polls.

Ken Sim of the Non-Partisan Association (NPA) is second with 23% (+3), followed closely by independent candidate Shauna Sylvester with 19% (+3).

Support is currently lower for Hector Bremner of Yes Vancouver (6%, -4), Wai Young of Coalition Vancouver (6%, -1), Fred Harding of VANCOUVER 1st (2%, -2) and David Chen of ProVancouver (2%, -5).

One third of voters in the City of Vancouver (33%) are undecided, including 41% of those aged 18-to-34 and 43% of women.

“Many Vancouver voters are still making up their minds about the candidates and parties they will support on October 20,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “This group includes three-in-ten of those who voted for Kirk LaPointe in the last mayoral election, and more than a quarter of those who cast a ballot for Gregor Robertson.”

Sim and Stewart are virtually tied among male decided voters (32% and 31% respectively), while Stewart leads among female decided voters (42%, followed by Sylvester at 25%).

When it comes to the election for City Council, more than half of voters in Vancouver (53%) say they are “definitely” or “probably” considering voting for independent candidates.

The parties with the highest level of consideration for City Council from Vancouver voters are the Greens (47%), the NPA (35%), the Coalition of Progressive Electors (COPE) (34%), Vision Vancouver (29%) and OneCity (27%).

Consideration is currently lower for City Council candidates representing YES Vancouver (18%), VANCOUVER 1st (also 18%), Coalition Vancouver (also 18%) and ProVancouver (16%).

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from October 12 to October 14, 2018, among 401 voters in the City of Vancouver, including 265 decided voters in the 2018 mayoral election. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points for the entire sample and +/- 6.0 percentage points for the sample of decided voters, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Half of Vancouverites Ponder Independents in Council Election

Consideration for both Green Party and Non-Partisan Association (NPA) candidates increased by five points since September.

Vancouver, BC [October 11, 2018] – Voters in Vancouver continue to take a serious look at candidates from the Green Party and Independents as they contemplate their options in the election to City Council, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, 51% (+5 since September) say they will “definitely” or “probably” consider supporting Green Party of Vancouver candidates in this month’s municipal ballot.

A similarly high proportion of Vancouverites (50%, +12) say they will “definitely” or “probably” consider voting for any of the 27 independent candidates that will be listed on the ballot.

“The electorate’s appetite for independent voices is high across all age groups in Vancouver,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “A majority of voters aged 55 and over (57%) are considering independent candidates for one of their 10 votes.”

When it comes to established political parties, 35% of Vancouverites (+5) say they would “definitely” or “probably” consider voting for City Council candidates from the Non-Partisan Association (NPA), and 34% (+2) feel the same way about contenders from the Coalition of Progressive Electors (COPE).

The level of consideration is currently lower for candidates representing Vision Vancouver (27%, -3), Yes Vancouver (23%, -1), ProVancouver (22%, +13), Coalition Vancouver (22%, +9), One City (21%, +2) and Vancouver First (16%, +4).

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from October 4 to October 7, 2018, among 402 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

 

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Stewart Remains Ahead in Vancouver Mayoral Race

Support for the independent candidate is highest among women and voters aged 18-to-34.

Vancouver, BC [October 9, 2018] – Independent candidate Kennedy Stewart currently has a higher level of support than all other contenders in Vancouver’s mayoral race, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, 34% of decided voters will cast a ballot for Stewart, while 20% would support Ken Sim of the Non-Partisan Association (NPA).

Independent candidate Shauna Sylvester is third with 16%, followed by Hector Bremner of Yes Vancouver with 10%, David Chen of ProVancouver and Wai Young of Coalition Vancouver each with 7%, and Fred Harding of Vancouver First with 4%.

More than a quarter of residents (26%) are undecided, down five points since a similar Research Co. survey completed last month. This group includes 31% of women and 24% of those who voted for Vision Vancouver’s Gregor Robertson in the 2014 mayoral election.

“Almost half of Vancouverites who supported Robertson in the last election are saying they would be voting for Stewart this year,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “Conversely, Sim is holding on to two-in-five residents who voted for Kirk LaPointe in the 2014 election.”

Stewart holds a double-digit lead over Sim among women (41% to 16%) and is virtually tied with the NPA candidate among men (27% to 25%). The independent candidate is also the top choice for voters aged 18-to-34 (38%, followed by Sim at 19% and Bremner at 14%).

Residents were asked individually about which of the seven candidates would be a “good choice” for mayor in the city. The top ranked contenders are Stewart (35%), Sylvester (27%), Sim (20%) and Bremner (13%).

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from October 4 to October 7, 2018, among 402 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Stewart Holds the Upper Hand in Vancouver Mayoral Race

Two thirds of residents say housing is the most important issue facing the city.

Vancouver, BC [September 19, 2018] – With just over a month to go before Vancouverites elect their new mayor, the absence of a contender from the governing Vision Vancouver party appears to have benefited independent candidate Kennedy Stewart, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, 36% of decided voters say they will vote for Stewart in next month’s election, up 11 points since a Research Co. poll conducted in July.

Ken Sim of the Non-Partisan Association (NPA) is in second place with 25% (-1), followed by independent candidate Shauna Sylvester with 17% (+6), Hector Bremner of Yes Vancouver with 7% (+2) and David Chen of ProVancouver with 4% (=).

Support is lower for Wai Young of Coalition Vancouver (3%, -5), Fred Harding of Vancouver First (also 3%) and Connie Fogal of Idea Vancouver (2%).

The level of undecided voters in the City of Vancouver stands at 31% this month.

The survey was conducted after the final list of mayoral candidates was released by the city on September 14. Vision Vancouver mayoral contender Ian Campbell—who had the support of 18% of decided voters in July—withdrew from the race on September 10.

Stewart holds a 23-point lead over Sim among female decided voters (44% to 21%), while Sim is slightly ahead of Stewart among male decided voters (32% to 29%).

“The departure of Ian Campbell from the mayoral race has definitely helped Stewart, who currently has the support of 45% of Vancouverites who voted for Gregor Robertson in the last mayoral election,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “Sim is connecting well with the NPA’s traditional base, and is holding on to 49% of the voters who supported Kirk LaPointe in 2014.”

Across the city, two thirds of residents (67%) believe housing is the most important issue facing Vancouver, followed by transportation (9%), poverty (also 9%) and economic development (5%).

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from September 15 to September 18, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

 

 

Greens, Independents Surge in Vancouver Council Election

Almost half of residents would like to see several parties represented in City Council.

Vancouver, BC [September 11, 2018] – As Vancouverites consider their choices in the election to City Council, the parties that traditionally formed the government in the city are not particularly popular, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, 46% say they will “definitely” or “probably” consider voting for Green Party of Vancouver candidates in next month’s election to City Council, while 39% will “definitely” or “probably” cast ballots for independent candidates.

About a third of Vancouverites (32%) would “definitely” or “probably” consider voting for City Council candidates from the Coalition of Progressive Electors (COPE). The ranking is lower for Vision Vancouver (30%), the Non-Partisan Association (NPA) (also 30%), Yes Vancouver (24%), One City (19%), Coalition Vancouver (13%), Vancouver First (12%) and ProVancouver (9%).

“The Green Party is definitely outperforming all others in Vancouver when it comes to City Council,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “There is also a large component of the electorate that is currently looking into independent candidates as viable options.”

Almost half of Vancouverites (47%, -3 since April) would “definitely” or “probably” prefer to see several parties represented in City Council, while 38% (+3 since April) would prefer a single party having a majority.

The survey was conducted before Ian Campbell of Vision Vancouver announced he was dropping out of the mayoral race. Across the city, the best ranked candidate is independent Kennedy Stewart with a score of +13 (23% think he is a “good choice” for mayor, while 10% deem him a “bad choice”).

Only two other candidates currently hold a positive score: independent Shauna Sylvester at +11 (19% “good”, 8% “bad”) and Ken Sim of the NPA at +4 (18% “good”, 14% “bad”).

David Chen of ProVancouver is even (11% “good”, 11% “bad”). The remaining candidates post negative scores, including Wai Young of Coalition Vancouver (-16), Hector Bremner of Yes Vancouver (-2) and Fred Harding of Vancouver First (also -2).

Vancouverites were also asked how much confidence they have in each of the declared mayoral candidates to help make Vancouver housing more affordable. 

Stewart is also ahead, with 33% of residents expressing “complete confidence” or “some confidence” in his ability, followed by Bremner (26%), Sylvester (also 26%), Sim (24%), Harding (22%), Chen (21%) and Young (19%).

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from September 4 to September 7, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

 

 

 

 

High Support for Vancouver’s Plan to Limit Use of Plastics

More than nine-in-ten residents think restaurants and coffee shops should provide recycling options for the disposable cups they give out.

Vancouver, BC [July 26, 2018] – Most Vancouverites hold favourable views of the recently approved plan to ban specific plastic items by June 2019 in the city, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, 85% of respondents agree with banning the distribution of single-use plastic straws, with appropriate exemptions for health care needs.

Similarly high proportions of Vancouverites agree with both banning expanded polystyrene foam (or “thermal”) cups and take-out containers (85%) and banning the distribution of single-use plastic utensils, unless they are directly requested by customers (84%).

The “Zero Waste 2040” strategy also contemplates action to deal with disposable cups, including plastic cups for cold drinks and polycoat paper cups for hot drinks.

More than nine-in-ten Vancouverites (93%) think it would be a “very good” or “good” idea to require restaurants and coffee shops to provide recycling options for the disposable cups they give out.

Residents are more divided when it comes to two other proposals.

A majority of Vancouverites (55%) think it would be a good idea for customers to pay an additional fee for the disposable cups they require when purchasing a beverage, but more than a third (36%) believe this would be a bad idea.

“There is a sizeable gender gap on this question,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “Support for charging additional fees on disposable beverage cups reaches 62% among women, but only 49% among men.”

In addition, while 54% of Vancouverites think it would be a good idea to ban the distribution of disposable cups altogether, one third (33%) disagree.

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from July 13 to July 16, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Sim and Stewart Nearly Tied, Many Still Undecided in Vancouver

Vancouverites think housing affordability and the influence of developers are worse in their city than in other Metro Vancouver municipalities. 

Vancouver, BC [July 19, 2018] – With three months to go before Vancouverites select a new mayor and council, two candidates have solidified their position as early frontrunners, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, 26% of decided voters say they will support Ken Sim of the Non-Partisan Association (NPA), while 25% will cast a ballot for independent candidate Kennedy Stewart.

Ian Campbell of Vision Vancouver is third with 20%, followed by independent candidate Shauna Sylvester with 11%, Wai Young of Coalition Vancouver with 8%, Hector Bremner of Yes Vancouver with 5% and David Chen of ProVancouver with 4%.

The level of undecided voters in the City of Vancouver has dropped, from 47% in the June Research Co. survey, to 35% this month. The survey was conducted entirely after Patrick Condon, who was seeking the mayoral nod for the Coalition of Progressive Electors (COPE), announced he was withdrawing from the race.

Among decided voters, Sim is ahead among men (32%), residents of the West Side (31%) and those aged 55 and over (36%). Conversely, Stewart holds the upper hand among women (30%), residents of the East Side (29%) and Downtown (32%), and those aged 35-to-54 (31%).

“There are still many voters who are in the process of getting to know the contenders,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “Almost two thirds (63%) feel they do not have enough information about candidates and parties to cast all their votes in the municipal election.”

When asked about specific issues, four-in-five Vancouverites (82%) think housing affordability is worse in their city than in other Metro Vancouver municipalities, and more than half (57%) feel the same way about the influence of developers.

Two-in-five Vancouverites (40%) think quality of life is better in their city, and three-in-ten (30%) believe public safety is also superior.

Only 29% of Vancouverites are satisfied with the actions taken by the federal government to deal with housing issues in their city. The satisfaction rating is higher for both the municipal government (32%) and the provincial government (38%).

Three-in-ten Vancouverites (31%) agree with the idea of all Metro Vancouver municipalities amalgamating into one, like Toronto and Montreal have, while almost half (48%) disagree with this notion.

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from July 13 to July 16, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Concerns About Crime Skyrocket in Surrey

More than half of residents say public safety in their city is worse than in other Metro Vancouver municipalities.

Vancouver, BC [July 2, 2018] – Public safety has emerged as a key issue as residents of Surrey prepare for October’s municipal election, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Surrey residents, 45% of respondents identify crime as the most important issue facing their city—a proportion that rises to 58% among those who reside in Newton.

Housing is second on the list of municipal concerns with 26%, followed by transportation with 10% and poverty with 7%.

More than half of residents (56%) think Surrey should have its own municipal police force, while 27% disagree.

When asked to compare their city to other Metro Vancouver municipalities on seven issues, more than half of residents (55%) say public safety is worse in Surrey than in other cities.

More than a third of respondents (35%) believe the influence of developers is worse in Surrey than in other areas of Metro Vancouver, while one-in-four (25%) think Surrey is better on housing affordability.

“There are certainly issues where Surrey residents believe they are luckier than their neighbours in adjacent areas,”, says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “But public safety is definitely not one of them.”

Many residents of Surrey say they are dissatisfied with the actions taken by the provincial government (49%), the federal government (51%) and the municipal government (53%) to deal with crime in Surrey, and almost half (48%) disagree with the notion that the legalization of marijuana will ultimately lead to lower crime rates in their city.

A majority of Surrey residents (52%) say they would like to see Dianne Watts as the city’s mayor again, including 60% of men and 74% of South Surrey residents.

Tom Gill, recently named as the Surrey First candidate for mayor, is seen as a good choice to lead the city by 15% of residents, and a bad choice by 14%. The rating is similar for former interim BC Liberals leader Rich Coleman (Good 20%, Bad 19%), who is said to be considering a bid.

Doug Elford of the Surrey Community Alliance is regarded as a good choice for mayor by 17% of residents, and 15% feel the same way about former Surrey First councillor Bruce Hayne, who now sits as an independent.

More than a third of residents (36%) have a positive opinion of the governing Surrey First party, while 21% hold negative views. Three opposition parties hold similar positive ratings (28% for the Surrey Community Alliance, 27% for both Proudly Surrey and People First Surrey).

Most residents of Surrey (53%) think the proposed Surrey–Newton–Guildford Light Rail Transit (LRT) project is a great idea.

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from June 24 to June 28, 2018, among 401 adults in the City of Surrey. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Surrey. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Photo Credit: Leoboudv

Stewart, Sim and Campbell Battle in Vancouver Race

Almost half of Vancouverites are undecided when asked which one of eight mayoral hopefuls would get their vote this year.

Vancouver, BC [June 14, 2018] – With just over four months to go before Vancouver elects a new mayor, many of the city’s residents are undecided, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, 47% of respondents are not sure who they would vote for if the mayoral election took place tomorrow.

Among decided voters, New Democratic Party (NDP) Member of Parliament Kennedy Stewart is in first place with 26%, followed by Ken Sim of the Non-Partisan Association (NPA) with 23%, and Ian Campbell of Vision Vancouver with 18%

Support is lower for current NPA councillor Hector Bremner (10%), independent Shauna Sylvester (9%), prospective Coalition of Progressive Electors (COPE) candidate Patrick Condon (8%), David Chen of ProVancouver (4%) and Wai Young of Coalition Vancouver (3%).

Male decided voters are more likely to be supporting Sim at this stage (30% to 22% for Stewart), while Stewart is ahead among female decided voters (29%, with Campbell in second place at 18%).

Stewart is seen as a “good choice” to become mayor by 18% of residents (+8 since late April), followed by Campbell (17%), Sim (16%), Bremner (11%, =) and Sylvester (also 11%, +4). Condon (8%), Young (7%, +1) and Chen (5%) are in single digits.

When asked about specific political parties, a majority of Vancouverites (54%, +6 since early April) have a positive opinion of the Green Party of Vancouver.

The rating is lower for Vision Vancouver (31%, +5), the NPA (30%, -2), COPE (28%, +1), One City (17%, +3), Coalition Vancouver (also 17%) and ProVancouver (11%).

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from June 9 to June 11, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

 

Photo Credit: Xicotencatl

Extraordinary Support for Banning Big Money in Vancouver Politics

Almost three-in-five residents believe parties should not raise funds from corporations and unions at all. 

Vancouver, BC [May 10, 2018] – Residents of Vancouver are overwhelmingly in favour of the push to ban big money in municipal politics, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, almost nine-in-ten respondents (87%) agree with the legislation enacted by the Government of British Columbia to ban corporate and union donations in local election campaigns, and establish a limit of $1,200 on an individual’s donations to a party and its candidates.

Sizeable majorities of residents across all demographics and party affiliations are in favour of the new guidelines, which came into effect in September 2017.

When introduced, the legislation that banned corporate and union donations in local election campaigns did not prevent municipal political parties from raising money from corporations and unions if those funds were used exclusively toward operational expenses, and not on an election campaign.

The Government of British Columbia announced a change to the Local Election Campaign Financing Act regulations on April 27, to ensure that union and corporate donations cannot be used to fund any expenses of elector organizations during the year of a general local election.

Almost three-in-five Vancouverites (59%) think the original law should “probably” or “definitely” change, and believe parties should not raise funds from corporations and unions at all.

Conversely, just over a quarter of Vancouverites (27%) believe the law should “probably” or “definitely” remain as originally tabled, and argue that parties should raise funds from corporations and unions for operational expenses.

It is important to note that support for modifying existing legislation is high among Vancouverites who voted for Vision Vancouver’s Gregor Robertson in the 2014 mayoral election (58%) and those who supported Kirk LaPointe of the Non-Partisan Association (NPA) in the same contest (61%).

“Vancouverites are decidedly happy with the ban on big money in municipal politics,” says Mario Canseco, President at Research Co. “And the spirit of the ban, when it comes to operational expenses, is shared by voters who cast ballots for the top two vote-getters in Vancouver’s last mayoral election.”

In a final question, four-in-five respondents (80%) voiced support for the recently approved zoning bylaw amendments that will allow grocery stores in Vancouver to sell alcoholic beverages.

According to the new guidelines, alcoholic beverages will not be in plain view of grocery store customers, who will have to go into a separate section of the store for their purchases.

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from April 28 to April 30, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

 

Photo Credit: Matthew Field.

Most Vancouverites Would Allow Permanent Residents to Vote

Citizens born in Canada are more likely to support the change than those who gained Canadian citizenship after immigrating from another country.

Vancouver, BC [May 8, 2018] – The proposal from Vancouver City Council that seeks to allow Permanent Residents of the city to cast ballots in municipal elections is currently supported by a majority of residents, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, 57% of respondents support allowing Vancouver’s Permanent Residents to vote in municipal elections, while more than a third (35%) are opposed.

In Canada, Permanent Residents are eligible for most social benefits that Canadian citizens receive (including health care coverage), can live, work or study anywhere in Canada, and are protected under Canadian law and the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

Permanent Residents must pay taxes and respect all Canadian laws at the federal, provincial and municipal levels. Permanent Residents cannot currently vote or run for political office in Canada, but are eligible to do so once they apply—and are granted—status as Canadian citizens.

Vancouver City Council’s motion asks the Government of British Columbia to “make the necessary changes” to allow Permanent Residents to vote in Vancouver’s municipal elections. About 60,000 Permanent Residents currently live in Vancouver.

Support for allowing Permanent Residents of Vancouver to vote in municipal elections is highest among residents aged 18-to-34 (68%), those who live on the East Side of Vancouver (62%) and women (58%).

“Residents of Vancouver aged 55 and over are more skeptical about the proposed change than their younger counterparts” says Mario Canseco, President at Research Co. “The level of support for the change is higher among Vancouverites who were born in Canada (58%) than among those who acquired citizenship after immigrating from another country (48%).”

Three-in-five Vancouverites (63%) think it makes sense to allow Permanent Residents, who contribute to the city by working, living and paying taxes here, to vote in Vancouver’s municipal elections.

However, 49% concede that allowing Permanent Residents to vote sets a dangerous precedent, as foreigners who have not sworn allegiance to Canada would have a say in the formation of governments.

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from April 28 to April 30, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.
Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

 

Photo Credit: Differense.

Carr Extends Lead as Preferred Mayoral Contender in Vancouver

Half of Vancouverites would like to see a single mayoral candidate supported by Vision Vancouver, the Greens, One City and COPE this year.

Vancouver, BC [May 3, 2018] – Green Party of Vancouver councillor Adriane Carr remains the most popular prospective mayoral contender in the city, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver residents, more than a third of Vancouverites (35%) think Carr would be a “good choice” for Mayor—a nine-point increase since a Research Co. poll conducted in early April.

Only four other prospective contenders reach double digits on this question: current Vision Vancouver councillor Raymond Louie (19%), independent Jean Swanson (17%, +1), current Non-Partisan Association (NPA) councillor Hector Bremner (11%, +5) and current New Democratic Party (NDP) Member of Parliament Kennedy Stewart (10%).

One-in-five Vancouverites (22%) think Louie would be a “bad choice” for Mayor, while 16% (+4) feel the same way about Bremner.

Positive perceptions increased for two other prospective contenders: current Park Board commissioner John Coupar of the NPA (9%, +4) and urban geographer Colleen Hardwick (8%, +3). Simon Fraser University (SFU) professor Shauna Sylvester and activist Morgane Oger are seen as “good choices” for mayor by 7% of residents.

Half of Vancouverites (50%) would like to see a single mayoral candidate supported by Vision Vancouver, the Green Party of Vancouver, One City and the Coalition of Progressive Electors (COPE) this year, while one-in-four (23%) disagree.

Agreement with the notion of a “unity candidate” from the centre-left is highest among women (54%), respondents aged 55 and over (52%) and residents of the East Side (54%).

Vancouverites who voted for Vision Vancouver’s Gregor Robertson or COPE’s Meena Wong in 2014 are definitely more likely to endorse the idea of a “unity candidate” (64% and 62% respectively). Those who voted for Kirk LaPointe of the NPA four years ago are less interested (65% disagree).

The city is divided on whether it is time for the NPA to take control of City Council and the Mayor’s office, with 33% agreeing with the statement, 33% disagreeing with it, and 34% saying they are not sure. The highest level of agreement on this question is observed among men (44%), those in the highest income bracket (42%) and homeowners (41%).

Almost half of respondents (47%) say they are more enthusiastic about the upcoming municipal election than they have been in years past, while more than a third (37%) disagree. Robertson voters from 2014 are less likely to be enthusiastic about this year’s race (49%) than Wong (60%) and LaPointe (71%) voters.

When asked how they intend to vote in the 2018 election to Vancouver City Council, almost half of residents (47%) say they will “definitely” (9%) or “probably” (38%) select candidates individually, regardless of their affiliation. Conversely, almost two-in-five Vancouverites (38%) say they will “definitely” (11%) or “probably” (27%) select the most or all candidates from a specific party.

LaPointe voters from 2014 are decidedly more likely to say they’ll cast ballots on a partisan basis (68%), while Robertson and Wong voters are more likely to select candidates individually (57% and 54%, respectively).

Almost half of Vancouverites (49%) say they will “definitely” (15%) or “probably” (35%) prefer to have several parties represented in City Council when this year’s election is over. More than a third of residents (35%) say they will “definitely” (12%) or “probably” (23%) prefer a single party having a majority in Council.

Once again, LaPointe voters from 2014 are more likely to wish for a single party to have a majority (62%), while Robertson and Wong voters are more eager to have several parties in Council (56% and 64%, respectively).

The most important issues facing the City of Vancouver are housing (42%) and cost of living (36%), followed by poverty (5%) and government accountability (4%).

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from April 28 to April 30, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.
Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

 

Photo Credit: Kenny Louie.

Vancouverites See Carr, Swanson as Good Mayoral Options

The Green Party outranks the Non-Partisan Association (NPA) and Vision Vancouver in positive perceptions.

Vancouver, BC [April 12, 2018] – In the early stages of the Vancouver mayoral race, a current councilor and a former candidate for council are regarded as worthy choices by voters, a new poll by Research Co. has found.

In the online survey of a representative sample of City of Vancouver voters, one-in- four respondents (26%) think current Green Party of Vancouver councilor Adriane Carr would be a “good choice” if she became Mayor of Vancouver, while 16 per cent feel the same way about social activist Jean Swanson—who ran unsuccessfully as an independent in last year’s by-election to council.

“The impressive issue with Carr is how well she is connecting across party lines,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “About a third of voters who supported Vision Vancouver’s Gregor Robertson in 2014 say Carr would be a good choice for mayor, along with one-in-four of those who cast a ballot for Kirk LaPointe of the Non-Partisan Association (NPA).”

The poll, which allowed voters to rate 11 prospective candidates individually, outlines some major differences in name recognition. Almost half of respondents (47%) do not know who current NPA councilor Hector Bremner is, and larger proportions are unaware of other individuals seeking the NPA nod: current Park Board commissioner John Coupar (54%), urban geographer Colleen Hardwick (56%), financial analyst Glen Chernen (60%) and entrepreneur Chris Hasek-Watt (61%).

Across the city, six per cent of Vancouverites think Bremner is a good choice for Mayor—including 27 per cent of those who voted for LaPointe in the last mayoral election—while 12 per cent believe he would be a bad choice.

Former Conservative Party Member of Parliament Wai Young, who has launched a mayoral bid under the Coalition Vancouver banner, is regarded as a good choice by three per cent of Vancouverites, and as a bad choice by 13 per cent.

Simon Fraser University (SFU) professor Shauna Sylvester, who announced her mayoral campaign as an independent candidate last week, is seen as a good choice by eight per cent of Vancouverites—including 13% of those who voted for Robertson in the 2014 Mayoral contest.

Other prospective candidates who did not reach double digits as being “good choices” for mayor include urban planner Patrick Condon and Brette Mullins of Your Political Party.

“The absence of an incumbent and the changes to campaign financing have made this year’s Vancouver mayoral election particularly compelling,” continues Canseco. “The first battle for most of these prospective contenders will be for name recognition.”

When it comes to the political parties that currently operate in the city, almost half of Vancouverites (48%) say they have a positive opinion of the Green Party of Vancouver, while only 22% hold negative views.

Vision Vancouver, which currently holds a majority in council, is regarded negatively by 43% of Vancouverites and positively by 26%. One third of Vancouverites (32%) have negative views on the NPA, while 23% have positive ones.

Residents appear to be split on the Coalition of Progressive Electors (COPE) (27% positive, 27% negative), while smaller proportions of Vancouverites have a positive opinion of One City (14%) and Your Political Party (11%).

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted from April 9 to April 10, 2018, among 400 adults in the City of Vancouver. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in the City of Vancouver. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.9 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty. Find our full data set here.

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca