Federal Government’s Handling of COVID-19 Splits Americans

Just over half of Americans (51%) disapprove of Donald Trump’s performance as president, including 56% of Independents.

Vancouver, BC [June 3, 2020] – People in the United States are divided in their assessment of the federal government’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, 46% of Americans are satisfied with the way Washington has dealt with the COVID-19 pandemic, while 48% are dissatisfied.

Americans who voted for Republican Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election are more likely to say they are satisfied with the federal government’s efforts (76%) than those who cast a ballot for Democrat Hillary Clinton (29%).

Majorities of Americans are satisfied with the way their state governments (62%) and their local governments (64%) have managed the pandemic.

The approval rating for Trump stands at 46% this month, up three points since a similar Research Co. survey conducted in April. More than half of Americans (51%, -1) currently disapprove of the president, including 80% of Democrats and 56% of Independents.

Americans who usually watch Fox News are more likely to approve of the president’s performance (72%) than those who get information from a local network (41%), CNN (31%) and MSNBC / CNBC (28%) 

The disapproval rating for Trump is higher among African Americans (67%) and those with Hispanic or Latino ancestry (59%) than among White Americans (46%).

Almost seven-in-ten Americans (69%) say they would take a vaccine against COVID-19 if it ultimately becomes available. Men are more likely to say they would get themselves vaccinated (77%) than women (62%).

“Views on the possibility of inoculation against COVID-19 vary across the political spectrum in the United States,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “While 77% of Democrats would take the vaccine, the proportion drops to 65% among Republicans and 62% among Independents.”

Almost half of Americans (47%) believe the worst is “behind us” when it comes to the COVID-19 outbreak, while 41% think the worst is “ahead of us.”

More than a third of Americans consider that the United States has been better in dealing with the COVID-19 outbreak than Brazil (35%), Mexico (33%) and Italy (31%).

Fewer respondents believe the U.S. has done a better job handling the pandemic than France (26%), Spain (also 26%), South Korea (24%), the United Kingdom (also 24%), Germany (23%), Canada (22%) and Japan (also 22%).

Photo Credit: Daniel Case

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted on June 1 and June 2, 2020, among 1,000 American adults. The data has been statistically weighted according to U.S. census figures for age, gender and region. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our datasets here and here and download the press release here.

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

 

Perceptions of Trudeau Improve Across Canadian Provinces

The proportion of Albertans who hold separatist feelings has fallen markedly since December 2019.

Vancouver, BC [June 2, 2020] – The views of Canadians on the way the federal government can benefit their province have shifted during the COVID-19 pandemic, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, 38% of Canadians believe that their province would be “better off” with a different Prime Minister in Ottawa, while 47% disagree.

A similar Research Co. survey conducted in December 2019 found that 50% of Canadians believed that their province would be “better off” with a different person heading the federal government.

The proportion of Canadians who wish for a person other than Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister is currently highest in Alberta (54%) and Saskatchewan and Manitoba (48%), and drops in British Columbia (37%), Quebec (also 37%), Ontario (35%) and Atlantic Canada (31%).

Almost two-in-five Canadians (38%) believe their province would be better off with a different premier in charge, down 14 points nationally since December 2019.

“In three of the four most populous provinces of Canada, the premiers have connected with residents in a meaningful way and saw their standing improve over the past six months,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “In Alberta, there was little movement for the premier and a slight recovery for the prime minister.”

The proportion of Ontarians who think the province would be better off with a premier other than Doug Ford fell from 60% in December 2019 to 38% in May 2020. There is also an improvement for François Legault in Quebec (from 44% to 29%) and for John Horgan in British Columbia (from 42% to 36%).

In Alberta, 56% of residents would rather have a premier other than Jason Kenney, down one point since December 2019. In this province, negative views of Justin Trudeau dropped by 11 points over the same span.

Across the country, 24% of Canadians (-1) think their province would be better off as its own country. Since December 2019, separatist feelings have fallen by four points in Quebec (36%) and by 12 points in Alberta (28%).

Only 17% of Canadians (+1) believe their province would be better off joining the United States, including 20% of Quebecers, 19% of Albertans and 18% of British Columbians.

Photo Credit: WinterE229 

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted on May 26 and May 27, 2020, among 1,000 adults in Canada. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Canada. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

More British Columbians Support Community Benefits Agreements

Almost four-in-five residents want to rely on the program to help the province recover from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Vancouver, BC [June 1, 2020] – A new survey finds that most British Columbians support Community Benefits Agreements (CBAs) and want to see them applied to public infrastructure projects as part of the province’s economic recovery plan.

The online survey conducted by Research Co. found that 74% of British Columbians either “strongly” or “moderately” support CBAs, and 77% agree with using them to help the province mend from the COVID-19 pandemic.

CBAs prioritize jobs for local residents and ensure employment opportunities for apprentices, Indigenous workers and women, and provide union wages and benefits.

Overall support for CBAs is strongest among British Columbians who voted for the BC Green Party in the 2017 provincial election (83%), but is also high among those who cast ballots for the BC New Democratic Party (NDP) (79%) and the BC Liberals (71%) three years ago.

A sizeable majority of British Columbians who voted BC Green in the last election (84%) are also in favour of using CBAs for the post-pandemic economic recovery.

In addition, 81% of BC NDP voters and 76% of BC Liberal voters also agree that CBAs should be used to support the province’s economic recovery plan.

Meanwhile, only 8% per cent of Green voters, 11% of NDP voters, and 16% of Liberal voters either “strongly” or “moderately” oppose CBAs overall.

In terms of demographics, support for CBAs is strongest among men (76%), British Columbians aged 55 and older (77%) and residents of Northern BC (78%).

“The level of support for CBAs is four points higher than it was when we first asked this question in August 2018,” said Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “When it comes to using CBAs for economic recovery, support is fairly uniform across gender, age and region.”

This survey was commissioned by the BC Building Trades Council.

Methodology:
Results are based on an online study conducted on May 26 and May 27, 2020, among 800 adults in British Columbia. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in British Columbia. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.5 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

BC NDP Keeps Upper Hand in British Columbia’s Political Scene

The approval ratings for John Horgan and Andrew Wilkinson increased since last year, along with concerns about health care.

Vancouver, BC [May 28, 2020] – The governing New Democratic Party (NDP) is ahead of all other contenders in British Columbia, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative provincial sample, 41% of decided voters in British Columbia would back the BC NDP candidate in their constituency, while 33% would cast a ballot for the BC Liberals.

Support for the BC New Democrats increased by two points since a similar Research Co. survey conducted in May 2019, while backing for the BC Liberals increased by three points.

The BC Green Party is currently in third place with 16% (-5), followed by the BC Conservative Party with 9% (unchanged).

The New Democrats are the most popular choice among female decided voters in the province (45%), as well as among decided voters aged 18-to-34 (46%) and 35-to-54 (41%).

The BC NDP and the BC Liberals are practically tied in the preference of male decided voters (38% and 36% respectively). A similar scenario is observed with decided voters aged 55 and over (38% for the BC Liberals, 37% for the BC NDP).

“Right now, 12% of BC Liberal voters in 2017 are looking at the BC Conservatives as an option they could back in a provincial election,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “The BC Green Party could see 14% of their 2017 voters walk away and support the BC NDP.”

The approval rating for Premier and BC NDP leader John Horgan stands at 73% this month, up 22 points since May 2019.

Almost half of British Columbians (48%, +14) approve of BC Liberals leader Andrew Wilkinson. The numbers are similar for interim BC Green Party leader Adam Olsen (49%), and lower for BC Conservative Party leader Trevor Bolin (35%, +15).

Almost three-in-ten British Columbians (28%) believe health care is the most important issue facing the province, up 17 points in a year.

The economy and jobs and COVID-19 are tied for second place with 21% each, followed by housing, homelessness and poverty with 17%, the environment with 4%, education with 3%, crime and public safety with 2%, accountability also at 2%, and energy and pipelines with 1%.

Health care is the most pressing concern for voters aged 55 and over (38%), while COVID-19 is the top issue for those aged 35-to-54 (36%) and housing, homelessness and poverty takes precedence among those aged 18-to-34 (29%).

Photo Credit: Ryan Bushby

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from May 23 to May 25, 2020, among 800 adults in British Columbia. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in British Columbia. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.5 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.
 
Find our full dataset here and download the press release here.
 
For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Three-in-Four Canadians Reject Huawei in 5G Mobile Networks

Almost four-in-five think Canada should not work to establish closer ties with China, up 10 points since January.

Vancouver, BC [May 27, 2020] – The proportion of Canadians who disagree with the notion of allowing a telecommunications company from the People’s Republic of China to take part in the development of Canada’s 5G network has reached a new high, a new Research Co. poll has found.

The federal government is currently reviewing the guidelines for 5G (or “Fifth Generation”) mobile networks, which are expected to provide Canadians with larger data capacity and faster connections.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, three-in-four Canadians (75%) believe Ottawa should not allow Huawei to participate in Canada’s 5G spectrum.

This month’s survey marks the highest level of rejection for Huawei’s involvement in the 5G network. Majorities of Canadians had expressed this feeling in surveys conducted by Research Co. in February 2019 (57%), July 2019 (68%) and January 2020 (66%).

Today, B.C. Supreme Court associate justice Heather Holmes ruled that the extradition hearing process for Huawei Chief Financial Officer Meng Wanzhou will continue. Meng was detained in December 2018, has remained under house arrest in Vancouver, and faces charges in the United States, including bank fraud and obstruction of justice.

Following Meng’s arrest, China detained two Canadians—Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor—on espionage allegations, and banned exports of Canadian canola, pork and beef.

“In four rounds of nationwide polling, most Canadians have never regarded Huawei as a welcome addition to Canada’s 5G network,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “Now, with the COVID-19 pandemic in the background and as the court decision on Meng’s extradition was about to be rendered, this view has hardened considerably.”

Three-in-four Canadians (75%, +8 since January 2020) agree with the way Canadian authorities have acted in the Meng case. Sizeable proportions of Canadians who voted last year for the Liberal Party (91%), the New Democratic Party (NDP) (75%) and the Conservative Party (59%) feel this way.

Almost four-in-five Canadians (78%, up 10 points since January) think Canada should not work to establish closer ties with China, including 90% of Canadians aged 55 and over and 82% of women.

Photo Credit: Jeff Hitchcock

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted on May 26 and May 27, 2020, among 1,000 adults in Canada. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Canada. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.
 
Find our full dataset here and download the press release here.
 
For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca