Most Canadians and Americans Praise Leaders for Job Creation

On this file, Conservative voters in Canada are more critical of Justin Trudeau than Democrats are of Donald Trump.

Vancouver, BC [August 9, 2019] – Most Canadians and Americans believe their current heads of government should be lauded for job creation, a new two-country Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of representative national samples, 60% of Canadians think Prime Minister Justin Trudeau deserves “all of the credit” (12%) or “some of the credit” (48%) for the country’s low unemployment rate.

On a regional basis, Canadians who reside in Quebec (65%), British Columbia (63%) and Ontario (61%) are more likely to believe that Trudeau deserves “all” or “some” of the credit for Canada’s unemployment rate, followed by Atlantic Canada (56%), Saskatchewan and Manitoba (55%) and Alberta (42%).

In the United States, 57% of Americans believe President Donald Trump deserves “all of the credit” (12%) or “some of the credit” (45%) for the country’s low unemployment rate.

In the United States, residents of the Midwest (63%) are more likely to believe that Trump deserves “all” or “some” of the credit for the country’s unemployment rate, followed by those in the Northeast (58%), the South (56%) and the West (55%).

“In Canada, only 37% of respondents who voted for the Conservative Party in the 2015 federal election are willing to praise Trudeau for the current employment situation,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “In the United States, the proportion of Democrats who feel the same way about Trump reaches 50%.”

The proportion of residents who believe the head of government deserves “none of the credit” for the low unemployment rate is significantly higher in the United States (26%) than in Canada (16%).

Methodology:

Results are based on online studies conducted from July 2 to July 5, 2019, among representative samples of 1,000 adults Canada and the United States. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian and U.S. census figures for age, gender and region in each country. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points for each country.

Find our full data set for Canada here, full data set for the United States here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

British Columbians Tout Unique Views in Canadian Landscape

Two thirds feel they have more in common with the people of Seattle and Portland than with those in Toronto or Montreal.

Vancouver, BC [August 7, 2019] – Most residents of British Columbia believe they have a distinctive outlook when compared to other areas of Canada, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative provincial sample, almost three-in-five British Columbians (59%) think their views “are different from the rest of the country”—including 89% of Green Party voters in the 2017 provincial election.

Two thirds of British Columbians (66%, unchanged since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in June 2018) think they have more in common with the people of Seattle and Portland than with those in Toronto or Montreal. 

Significant proportions of residents are very proud of the province they live in (86%, -1), believe they will stay in British Columbia for the rest of their lives (74%, -3), and disagree with the idea that British Columbia would be better off as its own country (74%, unchanged).

“There is a generational divide when British Columbians are asked if they will be lifelong residents of the province,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “While 85% of those aged 55 and over say they will stay in British Columbia for the rest of their lives, the proportion drops to 74% among those aged 35-to-54 and 64% among those aged 18-to-34.”

About one-in-five respondents (19%) say they consider themselves “British Columbians first, and Canadians second”—a proportion that rises to 24% among residents of the Fraser Valley.

Conversely, two thirds of respondents (67%) say they are “Canadians first, and British Columbians second.”

Practically two-in-five British Columbians (44%) are undecided when asked who they think has been the best Premier of the province since August 1986. Only three leaders reached double digits: John Horgan (14%), Gordon Campbell (12%) and Christy Clark (11%).

When asked who they believe has been the worst recent premier, 27% of British Columbians select Clark, followed by Campbell (11%) and Horgan (10%).

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 23 to July 25, 2019, among 800 adults in British Columbia. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in British Columbia. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.5 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Albertans Evenly Divided on Attachment to the United States

Three-in-ten residents think Alberta would be “better off as its own country”, up five points since December 2018.

Vancouver, BC [August 7, 2019] – Residents of Alberta are split when asked if they have “more in common with Americans than with those in other parts of Canada”, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative provincial sample, 43% of Albertans agree with this statement, while 43% disagree with it and 14% are undecided.

Almost half of respondents aged 18-to-34 (47%) and aged 55 and over (also 47%) think Albertans have more in common with Americans than with other Canadians. The proportion drops to 37% among respondents aged 35-to-54.

While a majority of those who voted for the United Conservative Party (UCP) in the last provincial election believe Albertans have more in common with Americans than with other Canadians (56%), only 29% of those who voted for the provincial New Democratic Party (NDP) in last April’s ballot concur. 

Three-in-ten Albertans (30%, +5 since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in December 2018) believe Alberta would be better off as its own country, while 62% (-7) disagree.

“The proportion of Albertans who appear to be flirting with separation has risen,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “It is important to note that the level of strong disagreement with this statement dropped from 58% in December 2018 to 44% now.” 

More than a quarter of respondents (27%, -4 since December 2018) say they consider themselves “Albertans first, and Canadians second”—a proportion that rises to 34% among those aged 55 and over, 34% for those who do not reside in Calgary or Edmonton and 37% among those who voted for the UCP in the last provincial election.

Conversely, three-in-five respondents (59%, -1) say they are “Canadians first, and Albertans second.”

A majority of Albertans (56%) think their views “are different from the rest of the country”—including 64% of men, 63% of those aged 55 and over and 72% of UCP voters.

More than two-in-five Albertans (44%) believe Ralph Klein has been the best Premier of Alberta since November 1985, followed by Rachel Notley with 17% and Don Getty with 6%.

When asked who they believe has been the worst recent premier, 26% of Albertans select Notley, followed by Alison Redford (25%) and Klein (11%).

Photo Credit: Zeitlupe 

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 23 to July 25, 2019, among 700 adults in Alberta. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Alberta. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.7 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Most Canadians Unfamiliar with “The Pact for a Green New Deal”

More than half of Canadians (54%) believe putting a price on carbon emissions is a sensible policy.

Vancouver, BC [August 2, 2019] – A large proportion of Canadians are unaware of a recent policy proposal related to environmental issues, but some of its key messages clearly resonate with the public, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, only three-in-ten Canadians (30%) say they are “very familiar” or “moderately familiar” with “The Pact for a Green New Deal.”

“The Pact for a Green New Deal” is calling for Canada to move away from fossil fuels, cut carbon emissions in half by 2030, protect jobs, promote green transportation and deal with economic inequality. The non-partisan policy proposal was launched in Canada in May 2019.

Almost three-in-five Canadians (59%) disagree with the idea of Canada taking no action on climate change unless other countries, which have higher carbon emissions, take major steps as well. The level of disagreement with inaction is highest among women (61%), Canadians aged 55 and over (62%) and those who voted for the Liberal Party in the 2015 federal election (65%).

More than three-in-five Canadians (62%) believe the Canadian economy must move away from oil and gas—a proportion that includes 68% of Quebecers and 67% of British Columbians.

A majority of Canadians (54%) believe putting a price on carbon emissions is a sensible policy. Majorities of Quebecers (66%), British Columbians (56%) and Atlantic Canadians (53%) agree with this notion, while the proportion is lower in Manitoba and Saskatchewan (48%), Ontario (47%) and Alberta (36%).

“There are some clear regional differences on environmental and energy issues across Canada,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “In the four provinces where provincial governments have expressed dissatisfaction with the federal carbon tax, support for this type of policy is lower than in the rest of the country.”

When asked which political party is better equipped to implement “The Pact for a Green New Deal”, 26% of Canadians select the governing Liberal Party, while 23% pick the Green Party. 

Perceptions are lower for the Conservative Party (19%) and the New Democratic Party (NDP) (11%), and one-in-five Canadians (20%) select no party. 

Across the country, 60% of Canadians (unchanged since a Research Co. survey conducted in December 2018) think global warming (or climate change) is a fact and is mostly caused by emissions from vehicles and industrial facilities.

Just over one-in-five Canadians (21%, +6) think global warming (or climate change) is a fact and is mostly caused by natural changes, while 8% (-10) say global warming (or climate change) as a theory that has not yet been proven.

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 15 to July 17, 2019, among 1,000 adults in Canada. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Canada. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Liberals Barely Ahead Three Months Before Canadian Election

Elizabeth May and Justin Trudeau are the only party leaders with an approval rating higher than 40% in Canada.

Vancouver, BC [July 24, 2019] – The governing Liberal Party has a slight edge over its competitors as the next Canadian federal ballot approaches, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, 34% of decided voters would cast a ballot for the Liberal candidate in their constituency if the election were held tomorrow.

The Conservative Party is second with 31%, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 17%, the Green Party with 10%, the Bloc Québécois with 4% and the People’s Party with 3%.

“The two main contending parties are locked in a tight generational race,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “The Liberals have a three-point advantage over the Conservatives among decided voters aged 18-to-34 and those aged 55 and over.”

Green Party leader Elizabeth May has the highest approval rating of all five contenders (42%, with 34% disapproving), followed by Prime Minister and Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau (41%, with 50% disapproving).

Just over a third of Canadians approve of Official Opposition and Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer (36%) and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh (35%). The rating is lower for Maxime Bernier of the People’s Party (21%).

The economy and jobs (19%) and health are (also 19%) are regarded as the most important issues facing Canada today, followed by the environment (16%), housing, homelessness and poverty (13%) and immigration (11%).

Fewer Canadians mentioned accountability and leadership (6%), energy and pipelines (also 6%), crime and public safety (4%) and foreign affairs (2%).

When asked what is the most important issue that will define their vote in this year’s federal election, one-in-five Canadians (20%) mention health care, including 34% in Atlantic Canada, 

Other issues mentioned by voters are the economy and jobs (18%, and 33% in Alberta), the environment (also 18%, and 28% in Quebec), housing, homelessness and poverty (12%, and 20% in British Columbia), accountability and leadership (8%) and immigration (also 8%).

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 15 to July 17, 2019, among 1,000 adults in Canada. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Canada. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca