Albertans Evenly Divided on Attachment to the United States

Three-in-ten residents think Alberta would be “better off as its own country”, up five points since December 2018.

Vancouver, BC [August 7, 2019] – Residents of Alberta are split when asked if they have “more in common with Americans than with those in other parts of Canada”, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative provincial sample, 43% of Albertans agree with this statement, while 43% disagree with it and 14% are undecided.

Almost half of respondents aged 18-to-34 (47%) and aged 55 and over (also 47%) think Albertans have more in common with Americans than with other Canadians. The proportion drops to 37% among respondents aged 35-to-54.

While a majority of those who voted for the United Conservative Party (UCP) in the last provincial election believe Albertans have more in common with Americans than with other Canadians (56%), only 29% of those who voted for the provincial New Democratic Party (NDP) in last April’s ballot concur. 

Three-in-ten Albertans (30%, +5 since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in December 2018) believe Alberta would be better off as its own country, while 62% (-7) disagree.

“The proportion of Albertans who appear to be flirting with separation has risen,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “It is important to note that the level of strong disagreement with this statement dropped from 58% in December 2018 to 44% now.” 

More than a quarter of respondents (27%, -4 since December 2018) say they consider themselves “Albertans first, and Canadians second”—a proportion that rises to 34% among those aged 55 and over, 34% for those who do not reside in Calgary or Edmonton and 37% among those who voted for the UCP in the last provincial election.

Conversely, three-in-five respondents (59%, -1) say they are “Canadians first, and Albertans second.”

A majority of Albertans (56%) think their views “are different from the rest of the country”—including 64% of men, 63% of those aged 55 and over and 72% of UCP voters.

More than two-in-five Albertans (44%) believe Ralph Klein has been the best Premier of Alberta since November 1985, followed by Rachel Notley with 17% and Don Getty with 6%.

When asked who they believe has been the worst recent premier, 26% of Albertans select Notley, followed by Alison Redford (25%) and Klein (11%).

Photo Credit: Zeitlupe 

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 23 to July 25, 2019, among 700 adults in Alberta. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Alberta. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.7 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Most Canadians Unfamiliar with “The Pact for a Green New Deal”

More than half of Canadians (54%) believe putting a price on carbon emissions is a sensible policy.

Vancouver, BC [August 2, 2019] – A large proportion of Canadians are unaware of a recent policy proposal related to environmental issues, but some of its key messages clearly resonate with the public, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, only three-in-ten Canadians (30%) say they are “very familiar” or “moderately familiar” with “The Pact for a Green New Deal.”

“The Pact for a Green New Deal” is calling for Canada to move away from fossil fuels, cut carbon emissions in half by 2030, protect jobs, promote green transportation and deal with economic inequality. The non-partisan policy proposal was launched in Canada in May 2019.

Almost three-in-five Canadians (59%) disagree with the idea of Canada taking no action on climate change unless other countries, which have higher carbon emissions, take major steps as well. The level of disagreement with inaction is highest among women (61%), Canadians aged 55 and over (62%) and those who voted for the Liberal Party in the 2015 federal election (65%).

More than three-in-five Canadians (62%) believe the Canadian economy must move away from oil and gas—a proportion that includes 68% of Quebecers and 67% of British Columbians.

A majority of Canadians (54%) believe putting a price on carbon emissions is a sensible policy. Majorities of Quebecers (66%), British Columbians (56%) and Atlantic Canadians (53%) agree with this notion, while the proportion is lower in Manitoba and Saskatchewan (48%), Ontario (47%) and Alberta (36%).

“There are some clear regional differences on environmental and energy issues across Canada,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “In the four provinces where provincial governments have expressed dissatisfaction with the federal carbon tax, support for this type of policy is lower than in the rest of the country.”

When asked which political party is better equipped to implement “The Pact for a Green New Deal”, 26% of Canadians select the governing Liberal Party, while 23% pick the Green Party. 

Perceptions are lower for the Conservative Party (19%) and the New Democratic Party (NDP) (11%), and one-in-five Canadians (20%) select no party. 

Across the country, 60% of Canadians (unchanged since a Research Co. survey conducted in December 2018) think global warming (or climate change) is a fact and is mostly caused by emissions from vehicles and industrial facilities.

Just over one-in-five Canadians (21%, +6) think global warming (or climate change) is a fact and is mostly caused by natural changes, while 8% (-10) say global warming (or climate change) as a theory that has not yet been proven.

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 15 to July 17, 2019, among 1,000 adults in Canada. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Canada. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Almost Two Thirds of Canadians OK with Same-Sex Marriage

More than three-in-five Canadians support the use of “SOGI-Inclusive Education” in their province.

Vancouver, BC [August 1, 2019] – A sizeable majority of Canadians support the notion of same-sex couples being able to legally enter wedlock, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, 64% of Canadians believe that same-sex couples should continue to be allowed to legally marry in Canada.

One-in-ten Canadians (10%) think same-sex couples should not have any kind of legal recognition, while 15% would allow them to form civil unions and not marry and 11% are undecided.

“More than seven-in-ten Canadians of European descent (71%) approve of same-sex marriage,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “But the proportion drops to 44% among Canadians of East Asian descent and 42% among Canadians of South Asian descent.”

Across the country, 45% of Canadians believe people who identify themselves as lesbian, gay, bisexual, trans, gender diverse, queer, and Two-Spirit are “born”, while 24% believe they “choose” to be LGBTQ2+. Three-in-ten Canadians (31%) are not sure.

Some school districts in Canada have relied on “SOGI-Inclusive Education”, which raises awareness of and welcomes students of all sexual orientations, gender identities and family structures. 

Most Canadians (62%) support the use of “SOGI-Inclusive Education” in their province, while just one-in-five (20%) are opposed and 18% are not sure.

Support for “SOGI-Inclusive Education” is highest among women (67%), Canadians aged 18-to-34 (64%) and Liberal Party voters in the 2015 federal election (70%).

Gay Straight Alliances (GSAs) and/or Queer Straight Alliances (QSAs) are peer support networks run by students and supported by school staff in order to promote a safe place for all students.

When asked if school districts should be compelled to inform parents if their child participates in a GSA or QSA in school, 45% of Canadians believe they “definitely” or “probably” should do so while 37% disagree.

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 15 to July 17, 2019, among 1,000 adults in Canada. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Canada. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Most Canadians Believe “Conversion Therapy” Should Be Banned

A majority also think transgender Canadians should be allowed to use the public bathroom of their choice.

Vancouver, BC [July 26, 2019] – More than half of Canadians would abolish the practice of trying to modify a person’s sexual orientation, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, 58% of Canadians would ban “conversion therapy”, which purports to “convert” individuals who identify themselves as LGBTQ2+ into heterosexuals through psychological or spiritual intervention.

Support for a nationwide ban on “conversion therapy” is highest among women (62%), British Columbians (65%) and Canadians aged 18-to-34 (61%).

Across the country, more than half of Canadians (55%) believe the notion of “converting” individuals who identify themselves as LGBTQ2+ is “impossible”, while 25% think it is “possible.”

“There are some striking ethnic differences on this question,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “While only 20% of Canadians of European descent think transforming a person’s sexual orientation is possible, the proportion rises to 34% among those of South Asian descent and 36% among those of East Asian descent.” 

There have been some discussions across Canada on establishing policies for the use of public bathrooms by transgender Canadians.

A majority of Canadians (52%) believe transgender Canadians should “definitely” or “probably” use the public bathroom of their choice, while one third (33%) think they should “definitely” or “probably” use the public bathroom based on biological sex.

Canadians who voted for the Liberal Party or the New Democratic Party (NDP) in the 2015 federal election are more likely to agree with the notion of transgender Canadians using the public bathroom of their choice (63% and 60% respectively).

Conversely. a majority of Canadians who supported the Conservative Party in the last federal ballot (52%) believe transgender Canadians should use the public bathroom based on biological sex.

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 15 to July 17, 2019, among 1,000 adults in Canada. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Canada. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca

Liberals Barely Ahead Three Months Before Canadian Election

Elizabeth May and Justin Trudeau are the only party leaders with an approval rating higher than 40% in Canada.

Vancouver, BC [July 24, 2019] – The governing Liberal Party has a slight edge over its competitors as the next Canadian federal ballot approaches, a new Research Co. poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample, 34% of decided voters would cast a ballot for the Liberal candidate in their constituency if the election were held tomorrow.

The Conservative Party is second with 31%, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 17%, the Green Party with 10%, the Bloc Québécois with 4% and the People’s Party with 3%.

“The two main contending parties are locked in a tight generational race,” says Mario Canseco, President of Research Co. “The Liberals have a three-point advantage over the Conservatives among decided voters aged 18-to-34 and those aged 55 and over.”

Green Party leader Elizabeth May has the highest approval rating of all five contenders (42%, with 34% disapproving), followed by Prime Minister and Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau (41%, with 50% disapproving).

Just over a third of Canadians approve of Official Opposition and Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer (36%) and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh (35%). The rating is lower for Maxime Bernier of the People’s Party (21%).

The economy and jobs (19%) and health are (also 19%) are regarded as the most important issues facing Canada today, followed by the environment (16%), housing, homelessness and poverty (13%) and immigration (11%).

Fewer Canadians mentioned accountability and leadership (6%), energy and pipelines (also 6%), crime and public safety (4%) and foreign affairs (2%).

When asked what is the most important issue that will define their vote in this year’s federal election, one-in-five Canadians (20%) mention health care, including 34% in Atlantic Canada, 

Other issues mentioned by voters are the economy and jobs (18%, and 33% in Alberta), the environment (also 18%, and 28% in Quebec), housing, homelessness and poverty (12%, and 20% in British Columbia), accountability and leadership (8%) and immigration (also 8%).

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted from July 15 to July 17, 2019, among 1,000 adults in Canada. The data has been statistically weighted according to Canadian census figures for age, gender and region in Canada. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty.

Find our full data set here and download the press release here. 

For more information on this poll, please contact:

Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
[c] 778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca