The Senate race is closer in Ohio, while two incumbent governors are clearly ahead in New York and Pennsylvania.
Vancouver, BC [November 1, 2026] – The Democratic Party is favoured to hold on to its U.S. Senate seats in Minnesota and Michigan in this Tuesday’s mid-term elections, according to new polls conducted by Research Co.
The surveys of American likely voters in six states also suggest the Democratic Party candidates will win all gubernatorial races for governor, including the incumbents running in New York and Pennsylvania.
Michigan
Democratic Party candidate Abdul El-Sayed heads to tomorrow’s election in the Great Lake State with a three-point advantage over Republican Party contender Mike Rogers among decided voters (51% to 48%).
In the gubernatorial election, Democrat Jocelyn Benson has a double digit lead over Republican John James (56% to 43%).
Minnesota
In the race for the U.S. Senate, Democrat Peggy Flanagan is ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by five points (52% to 47%).
In the North Star State’s gubernatorial election, Democrat Amy Klobuchar has a significant lead over Republican Lisa Demuth (56% to 43%).
New York
Incumbent governor Kathy Hochul of the Democratic Party holds a 10-point advantage over Republican Party candidate Bruce Blakeman (55% to 45%).
Ohio
The race to serve the remainder of current U.S. Vice President J. D. Vance’s term in the Buckeye State is extremely close, with 49% of decided voters backing Democrat Sherrod Brown and 48% supporting Republican John Husted.
In the gubernatorial election, Amy Acton of the Democratic Party holds a seven-point lead over Vivek Ramaswamy of the Republican Party (53% to 46%).
Pennsylvania
Incumbent governor Josh Shapiro of the Democratic Party is heavily favoured to win a new term in office in the Keystone State over Republican challenger Stacy Garrity (63% to 36%).
Wisconsin
David Crowley of the Democratic Party has a six-point led on the Badger State’s gubernatorial election over Republican Tom Tiffany (53% to 47%).
Methodology: Results are based on online surveys conducted from October 30 to November 1, 2026, among representative samples of 450 likely voters in six American states: Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The data has been statistically weighted according to U.S. census figures for age and gender in each state. The margin of error—which measures sample variability—is +/- 4.6 percentage points for each state.
Find our data tables here and download the press release here.
For more information on this poll, please contact:
Mario Canseco, President, Research Co.
778.929.0490
[e] mario.canseco@researchco.ca